Key stats from match between Valencia and Alavés starting at 2021-4-24 16:30 GMT. I love going after Smith and Gallo from this tier, particularly in H2H points leagues. Unfortunately, it’s hard to make assumptions on this without seeing how this would have played out with more data. If I’m going to talk about how well Ian Happ improved against the fastball, I have to also talk about how much he regressed versus everything else. Following the non-tendering of Kyle Schwarber and Albert Almora, only two primary outfielders, Jason Heyward and Ian Happ remain on the entire 40-man roster. The next year was a big step back in both directions for Happ as he hit just 15 home runs in 142 games and struck out a near league-leading 167 times. Happ went from batting .171 while slugging .402 against this pitch in 2019, to .305 and .610 in 2020. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Happ cut his launch angle versus the fastball in half! In the 2EarlyMocks, he is the 41st outfielder off the board at about a 143 ADP. The average probably won't help you much, but he should contribute in four categories at a relatively inexpensive price. That means almost half of Happ’s at-bats are resulting in the ball being put on the ground. Got to agree to disagree here. Antone entered with two outs in the seventh, with the plan perhaps being that he would record the final eight outs of the game to seal a Reds win. Ian Happ showed the power he was capable of when he first showed up in the Majors in 2017. No opinions. As a major leaguer, this will be the pitch you’re most likely to see, and let’s just say Mr. Happ “saw” it well. Let’s dive into our next player in this series: Ian Happ. He’s not going anywhere. The Chicago Cubs suddenly have a very thin outfield under contract for the upcoming season. Ouch. Moments after launching Happ did not play on September 4 and looked good hitting 2 HRs on September 5. At the same time, Happ also saw his flyball rate drop 11% this year! Enhanced Box Score: Reds 13, Cubs 12 – May 2, 2021; Ian Happ Carted Off the Field After Scary Collision with Nico Hoerner (UPDATE) This Game is Absolutely Bananas – Ian Happ Three-Run Shot Ties It At 12 (VIDEO) Javy Báez Gets in on the Derby with a Two-Run Shot (VIDEO) Kris Bryant is on Such Freaking Fire: His Second Homer of the Day (VIDEO) Baseball is a rollercoaster of emotions sometime. As long as he continues to show improved plate discipline while hitting bombs, this is a good OF3 and a great OF4 when drafting. Reds walk-off Cubs in 10-inning slugfest as Chicago OF Ian Happ carted off fieldUSA TODAY Sports ... Yahoo! With the minor bump in other pitches that weren’t fastballs this season, it leaves me a little worried about what a full season of this could bring in 2021. Your league didn’t use Fantrax this past season? Fantrax was one of the fastest-growing fantasy sites of 2018/2019 and we’re not slowing down in 2020! He does provide power and when near the top of the order, run score upside. Not great for a hitter that relies on power like Happ. Jamie Mellor Apr 14, 2021. In 2020, Happ saw a 7% uptick and a 2% uptick roughly in breaking balls and offspeed pitches. Next up is center fielder Ian Happ. The difference for Ian Happ versus the fastball from 2019 to 2020 is staggering. What?! Happ should continue to get plenty of at bat’s as mentioned before for 2021, as the club has consensus top-100 prospect OF Brennen Davis at Class-A South Bend a few years away. Why? Hoerner would make the play; Happ would lay nearly motionless in center field. November 3, 2020 by David Mendelson 2 Comments. We’ve officially hit the off-season! As of right now, there are two other players currently on the roster that can be plugged into center field. 100 Facts for the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Season. 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Software ; Web-based: Works on PC/Mac/iPads/Tablets/Phone; Cloud-based: Your league data follows you everywhere; Custom Values/Rankings Based on League Settings; Built-in Mock Draft; Unlimited Leagues; Over 50 Fantasy … He has certainly been walking more though. This should be fun! Mcneil is one of the most consistent high average guys out there. Ian Happ will be 26 years old at the start of next season and should still be in the prime of his career. In 2021, I can see Happ flirting with 30+ HR if he continues to hit the ball hard as he has done all his career. For an outfielder that can hit .250 and give you 30 bombs, while providing the occasional steal, that is not bad value. In a 15-team league, that means he is roughly a 10th round pick. Just discovered this site and it warms the off-season. While Ian Happ has made a lot of positive changes in his overall hitting profile, there is one trend that seems to be going in the wrong direction. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? We as analysts have to wonder if his vision after the incident severely affected his ability to see pitches over his last 68 PAs. Age (on opening day): 23 Where he played in 2019: Double-A 2019 minors: .283 BA (375 AB), 9 HR, 18 2B, .756 OPS, 29 BB, 76 K He is a contact hitter but his strikeout rate went way up in 2020. Ian Happ Fantasy Baseball Outlook (2021), Ian Happ (rib contusion) considered day-to-day, Ian Happ huge on offense before leaving due to collision, Ian Happ with a run scored versus New York Wednesday, Ian Happ scores a run versus the Brewers Tuesday, Joc Pederson with a run driven in Wednesday versus Los Angeles, Javier Baez drives in a run Wednesday versus Los Angeles, Willson Contreras scored a run Wednesday versus Los Angeles, Craig Kimbrel with a scoreless inning Wednesday versus the Dodgers, Adbert Alzolay allows two runs Wednesday versus the Dodgers, No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Ian Happ. Happ saved the offense from becoming flat-out brutal. This was all in just about the same amount of games. 2021 Fantasy Outlook. This was the reason Happ was consistently hitting in the upper half of the lineup (Sometimes lead-off and other times in the middle of the order) throughout most of the season. This correlation also led to the higher whiff rates, lower walk rates, and overall the Ian Happ we saw more of in 2018 and the first half of 2019. One is Albert Almora (could be non-tendered) who hit .167 with 0 HR’s in 28 games and led to a demotion to the alternative training site. Kyle Schwarber can be one of the most dangerous power bats in the game and the team needs his bat in the lineup, so he will be plugged in at left field. The Cubs have been waiting for Ian Happ to find his rhythm in the batter's box. If Happ has his flyball rate drop this much and stay this low all season, that could be dangerous for him reaching the 30 HR plateau that we expect him to get to. Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, Fantasy EPL 101 – How to Play Draft Premier League, Top-500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings: May 2021, 5 Tool | EP 56 | Injuries (Again), Prospect Assignments, and Dynasty Movers, Toolshed | EP 28 | Dynasty Crystal Ball, Part 2: Top-50 Pitchers in Five Years, Fantasy Hockey Life | EP 112 | Rob Love from Fantalytica on Prospects, Outfield OBP Dynasty Rankings For Fantasy Baseball, Excel-ing at Fantasy Baseball: Part 1 – The Basics, Fantasy Baseball Bullpen Depth Charts: Week 5, Superflex Rookie Rankings for 2021 Fantasy Football, Dynasty Rookie Rankings for 2021 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Basketball Weekend Streamers May 7-9, NBA Trends and Injuries: 3 Teams Ravaged by Injuries, NBA Keeper League Targets: Three Players To Watch. The 2021 Chicago Cubs took a devastating hit to their roster on Sunday. But the right-hander coughed up the four-run lead that he inherited, allowing a three-run homer to Ian Happ to tie the game in the eighth. With an ADP of ~379, Happ is criminally undervalued for the 2020 season. Alex Kirilloff, Twins. I for one think it had a major impact. Outlook for 2021. In a 5X5, Happ… Happ has always made consistently hard contact, but his strikeout rate was simply untenable, hovering around 34% in his first two seasons. This is a big sign of a hitter seeing the ball a lot better and choosing better times when to swing the bat. If you enjoyed this deep dive, be sure to check out all of our offseason content at Fantrax HQ as we help prepare you to win your leagues in 2021. Ian Happ finally got hot for the Cubs. 2021 ADP: 162.1 (OF #44) Ian Happ was probably the most exciting Cub to track in 2020, and could very well have been a late-round difference maker in your fantasy lineup. One other aspect that helped Happ against the fastball was his dramatic decrease in his launch angle. During those 115 games, he hit 24 bombs but added a woeful 129 strikeouts. Sounds like a normal day for you and me right? Your email address will not be published. This helped increase his exit velocity AND helped him cut 8% off of his under percentage (popping the ball up) to help create a nice solid line-drive swing. His line-drive rate went from 25.0% (36th) to 15.4% (146th). Here the Cubs are engaged in a slugfest with the Reds, and on a day in which the power trio of Baez and Bryzzo go off for 4 HRs, Ian Happ steps up and hits the biggest of all, a 3 run shot off previously untouched Tejay Antone to tie the game at 12 in the 8th inning. Trouble with Offspeed and Breaking Pitches. Happ ended up finishing with 12 homers, 27 runs, 28 RBI and an .866 OPS across 57 games. Both teams are truly well run organizations that should continue being contenders going forward. Right and Wrong: Ian Happ’s 2021 Fantasy Outlook – David Mendelson; Josh Bell: Is It Time To Sell? He continued his positive upward trajectory, with numbers that tracked at 30+ Home Runs and 85+ RBI across a full season. Happ will be … The other is an infielder by trade, Nico Hoerner, who hit .222 in 2020 but also 0 HRs in 48 games. This plays well into his first pitch swing percentage being 8% lower than his previous career-low and his chase percentage being the second-lowest of his career. 37. Will he return in 2021? Ian Happ. His .337 and .305 xBA versus the offspeed and breaking pitches in 2019 shot WAY down to .196 and .262 respectfully. Happ should continue to get plenty of at bat’s as mentioned before for 2021, as the club has consensus top-100 prospect OF Brennen Davis at Class-A South Bend a few years away. Required fields are marked *. Chicago Cubs Fantasy Baseball Outlook: Kyle Schwarber, Ian Happ, Craig Kimbrel. Thus far, 2021 has not been as kind to Happ, particularly at the plate. Well, this happened to be the game that Happ took a foul ball off his eye. Happ has seen his groundball percentage creep up each of the last 3 seasons from 40.5% in 2018, 43.1% in 2019, and now 47.1% in 2020. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Check out everything Fantrax has to offer and I’m sure you’ll come around to our way of thinking. Power remains with bettering K and Walk rates. Edman is a SB play. Back to the purpose of this article. The last two years have the return of the plus power for Happ, as he hit 11 and 12 HR’s each of the last two years in 58 and 57 games respectfully. I want to continue digging into positive and negative aspects of certain players’ 2020 seasons. The offspeed drop was the most dramatic as stated above (which also contributed a 50% whiff rate!) Ian Happ (OF) 2020: 27 R, 12 HR, 28 RBI, 1 SB, .258/.347/.457 | OF #41. ... Fantasy Basketball. Ian Happ was presented with the opportunity to show what he could do with more regular playing time last season, and there appears to be significant power promise heading into 2021. Great analysis David. Distanced himself for the Center Field Job. Either way, Happ will have to correct this in 2021. and this leads to confusion of how this could have changed so much from one year to the other. Happ got off to a hot start in 2020 and never really looked back, as he put to rest any notion that he and Albert Almora would split time in center field. The Cubs are hoping Ian Happ's strong 2020 performance was just a taste of what's to come over the course of a 162-game 2021 campaign. Happ has some speed even if he hasn't shown it recently, and he'll likely bat leadoff for the Cubs, who may need to manufacture runs more than in previous years. Finally, their leadoff man looked the part again on Sunday, only to be forced to exit in the aftermath of a scary collision with second baseman Nico Hoerner in center field. 2021 Fantasy Outlook Happ got off to a hot start in 2020 and never really looked back, as he put to rest any notion that he and Albert Almora would split time in center field. As the old saying goes, imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. I can only take into account the data that has been given and use that to best assess what to expect from them next season. Status: Under team control. Craig and Joe discuss the Fantasy outlook for Ian Happ this season. Castellanos caps 5-hit, 2-HR game with walk-off in extras (0:36) Nick Castellanos does it all vs. the Cubs, going 5-for-6 at the plate with 2 homers, 4 RBIs and a walk-off single in the 11th inning. Ian Happ projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. Each summer, one of the trailblazers of the fantasy ... Cubs outfielder Ian Happ has hit 23 home runs. His expected 2019 stats versus these pitches showed some regression was coming from his actual 2019 hitting data but not to this extent. Happ ended up finishing with 12 homers, 27 runs, 28 RBI and an .866 OPS across 57 games. Scott's 2021 Fantasy impact: pencil him in 5. Take your game to the next level with a SI subscription. This was after it was a career-best nearly 30% in 2019. Your email address will not be published. Happ is still hitting below the Mendoza line, but Sunday afternoon served as a glimmer of hope for himself and Cubs fans. Unless the Cubs sign George Springer or another free agent, this will be Happ’s job to lose and he should get the ample at-bats. As with many sports, there are many factors that come into play when looking at how a player performed during a particular season. There will certainly be some new faces roaming around the ivy walls in 2021, lets explore some potential options for the Cubs to replace … When looking at Happ’s statcast profile and Fangraphs page, this ending to the season led him to start to chase more outside the zone and lower his contact percentage. By Dan Harris (FantasyPros), Mon, Mar 22nd 2021, 5:11pm EDT. Ramon Laureano, OAK 38. That is a 30-35 HR pace in a full season. That leaves center field as the only open spot in the outfield. © Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com 2021 Fantasy Outlook: In 2021, he’ll compete for the top seventh role for the Cubs. This will help eliminate the double play, have the chance for an extra-base hit, or can help in a pinch with a sacrifice fly. Comment document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "ad27dbc08fa9f26a82b5014c69a075bf" );document.getElementById("bdaec49c75").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); May 6, 2021 By Chris Clegg Leave a Comment, May 6, 2021 By DynastyOneStop - Nathan Leave a Comment, FantraxHQ is the official content sponsor of. Cubs' Ian Happ: Not in Wednesday's lineup ... May 5, 2021 at 3:59 pm ET 1 min read Happ (ribs) isn't starting Wednesday against the Dodgers. in 2018, Happ struck out an insane 36% of his at-bats, which eventually carried over to the first half of 2019 and led to a demotion. The question regarding how likely he is to break that barrier depends on if he can start putting the ball in the air more while continuing to gain in his plate discipline. What a player has done in their career before 2020 needs to be taken into consideration for these exact reasons. Over a 162-game season, that translates to a 32-HR pace. On the Rays side, with how they play baseball they will definitely be back. With multi-team trades, designated commissioner/league managers, and drag/drop easy click methods, Fantrax is sure to excite the serious fantasy sports fan – sign up now for a free year at Fantrax.com. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. He went from 22 degrees to 11 degrees. Ian Happ, CHC. Jason Heyward still has 3 years remaining on his contract and plays elite defense in right field. If you are getting the pre-wall Happ, this is a great mid-round outfielder to acquire. Ian Happ's podcast The Compound debuted in March 2020. 2019 recap The Cubs sent Ian Happ to Triple-A Iowa out of the gate last season after his concerning 2018 strikeout totals bled into spring training. On 3/24/2021 at 10:55 AM, Sidearmer said: I also see Edman and McNeil going multiple rounds ahead of Happ, which again doesn't make sense to me. Where Ian Happ has really made strides in the last two years is his K rate while maintaining a decent walk rate. Yes. However, things went far south after that and looking further into the data, could have contributed to his horrible end to the season. But he has cut that down to a more manageable 26% over the last two years, and he's batted .260 with 23 home runs and 58 RBI over 115 games in that span. According to Michael Cerami of BleacherNation.com, These were Happ’s splits before and after September 7th: Before (163 PA): .304/.420/.659 with a 182 wRC+, 16% walk rate, and 23.9% K rate, After: (68 PA): .159/.221/.175 with a 11 wRC+, 5.9% walk rate, and 35.3% K rate, Cerami also adds that during this time, “Happ’s 91.7 MPH (22nd in MLB) to 89.6 MPH (70th). MLB. Ian Happ will be 26 years old at the start of next season and should still be in the prime of his career. The Chicago Cubs need Ian Happ to build on 2020 and to have a big 2021 season. 2021 Projection. Since then, Happ changed his approach dramatically and cut down his strikeout rate to sub 28% each of the last two seasons and had the second-highest walk rate of his career at 13% in 2020. Over 69 plate apperances, Happ is hitting just .167 and has but 1 home run and a lone RBI. By Dan Harris (FantasyPros), Mon, Mar 22nd 2021, 5:11pm EDT Happ has always made consistently hard contact, but his strikeout rate was simply untenable, hovering around 34% in his first two seasons. Buxton is an underrated asset in Roto and H2H categories, but he just needs to finally figure out a way to stay healthy. His ground ball rate also jumped from 40.6% to 56.4% and his infield fly ball rate jumped from 6.1% to 9.1%.”. Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Analysis Tagged With: 2020-21 MLB Offseason. Kyle Lewis, SEA 39. Ian Happ, Chicago Cubs (Heath Capps) NFBC ADP: 162.68 Happ is one of my favorite targets in the middle rounds, and I snagged him in Round 11 (pick 159) of TGFBI yesterday, for reference. No fluff. Inconceivable! The Chicago Cubs drafted Ian Happ in the first round, ninth overall, … Happ is a lot more valuable in leagues where you can use him at second base. Even if you weren’t a Dodgers fan, I think many of us were happy to see Clayton Kershaw finally win a ring. Just facts. In today’s day and age, it is encouraged for hitters to put the ball in the air as much as possible. His expected stats were not far off from the actual numbers too which helps us know that these changes in his approach were for real. Sports – News, Scores, Standings, Rumors, Fantasy Games. This offseason, I’ll be doing a series of articles looking at what went right, what went wrong, and the overall 2021 outlook for certain players. Happ continues to be consistently undervalued in all formats. This also tied into his drastic decrease in slugging percentage off these pitches as well. Players may be statistically slow starters, not play well in certain weather, have problems with certain teams that they continued to face in the re-alignment, and more. 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